IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+6.2	#86
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.5	#157
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.7	#99

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.5	#82

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	1.3%	1.5%	0.2%
Top 6 Seed	3.0%	3.3%	0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid	20.5%	22.4%	7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	12.8%	14.3%	3.2%
Average Seed	9.5	9.5	10.4

.500 or above	73.9%	77.3%	50.4%
.500 or above in Conference	77.4%	79.3%	64.5%
Conference Champion	10.5%	11.3%	5.2%
Last Place in Conference	1.2%	1.0%	2.7%

First Four	4.3%	4.7%	1.5%
First Round	18.1%	19.7%	6.7%
Second Round	7.7%	8.4%	2.4%
Sweet Sixteen	2.5%	2.7%	1.0%
Elite Eight	0.8%	0.9%	0.3%
Final Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Home) - 87.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	1 - 2	1 - 5
Quad 2	3 - 4	4 - 9
Quad 3	7 - 3	11 - 12
Quad 4	8 - 1	19 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	210	LIU Brooklyn	W	81-69	87%
Nov 09, 2019	9	@ Maryland	L	63-77	11%
Nov 15, 2019	45	Alabama	L	72-73	46%
Nov 19, 2019	309	Nicholls St.	W	83-65	94%
Nov 22, 2019	152	North Texas	W	70-64	69%
Nov 24, 2019	20	LSU	L	73-80	28%
Nov 27, 2019	259	Manhattan	W	70-55	90%
Dec 01, 2019	46	@ West Virginia	L	72-79	27%
Dec 06, 2019	36	Providence	L	70-72	43%
Dec 21, 2019	76	Western Kentucky	W	73-71	58%
Dec 29, 2019	174	@ Middle Tennessee	W	73-69	64%
Jan 02, 2020	171	@ Brown	W	76-72	62%
Jan 05, 2020	105	Richmond	W	74-69	67%
Jan 08, 2020	52	Davidson	L	68-69	48%
Jan 11, 2020	28	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	66-75	22%
Jan 15, 2020	221	@ Saint Joseph's	W	76-69	71%
Jan 18, 2020	189	La Salle	W	78-67	82%
Jan 22, 2020	126	Duquesne	W	78-72	70%
Jan 25, 2020	115	@ St. Bonaventure	L	65-66	49%
Jan 28, 2020	151	@ George Mason	W	73-70	58%
Jan 31, 2020	28	Virginia Commonwealth	L	69-72	40%
Feb 04, 2020	237	Massachusetts	W	78-65	87%
Feb 08, 2020	190	@ George Washington	W	72-67	67%
Feb 11, 2020	60	@ Dayton	L	66-72	32%
Feb 15, 2020	221	Saint Joseph's	W	79-66	85%
Feb 22, 2020	52	@ Davidson	L	66-72	30%
Feb 26, 2020	233	@ Fordham	W	69-62	72%
Mar 01, 2020	141	Saint Louis	W	71-63	75%
Mar 04, 2020	60	Dayton	W	70-69	50%
Mar 07, 2020	237	@ Massachusetts	W	75-68	73%
Projected Record						18 - 12	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.5	2.0	3.3	3.1	1.4	0.3		10.5	1st
2nd												0.1	1.0	3.6	4.7	2.4	0.4	0.0			12.1	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	1.2	4.1	4.9	1.9	0.1					12.3	3rd
4th										0.1	1.0	4.4	5.0	1.5	0.1						12.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.7	3.7	5.1	1.8	0.1							11.5	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	3.0	4.9	1.9	0.2								10.3	6th
7th							0.0	0.1	2.1	4.0	2.1	0.2	0.0								8.6	7th
8th							0.0	1.1	3.3	2.2	0.3	0.0									6.9	8th
9th						0.0	0.6	2.2	2.1	0.3	0.0										5.2	9th
10th					0.0	0.2	1.5	1.9	0.3	0.0											4.0	10th
11th				0.0	0.2	1.0	1.3	0.4	0.0												2.9	11th
12th			0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	0.4	0.0													1.9	12th
13th		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.1														1.2	13th
14th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0															0.5	14th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.2	2.6	4.0	5.7	8.2	10.3	12.1	12.8	12.1	10.6	8.7	5.8	3.4	1.4	0.3			Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
17-1	100.0%	1.4		1.3	0.1
16-2	88.8%	3.1		2.3	0.7	0.0
15-3	56.9%	3.3		1.7	1.4	0.3	0.0
14-4	23.1%	2.0		0.6	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0
13-5	4.7%	0.5		0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0			0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	10.5%	10.5		6.1	3.2	1.0	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.3%		97.2%	66.6%	30.6%	3.8		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0								0.0		91.5%
17-1	1.4%		95.7%	42.1%	53.6%	5.3		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0					0.1		92.5%
16-2	3.4%		85.8%	34.4%	51.4%	7.4		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1					0.5		78.4%
15-3	5.8%		70.7%	25.0%	45.7%	9.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.7	0.8	0.3	0.0		0.0		1.7		60.9%
14-4	8.7%		50.8%	17.2%	33.6%	10.1					0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.9	1.4	0.7	0.1		0.0		4.3		40.6%
13-5	10.6%		32.6%	14.3%	18.3%	10.9							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.3	1.0	0.2	0.0			7.1		21.4%
12-6	12.1%		17.2%	8.2%	9.1%	11.3								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.8	0.8	0.1	0.0	0.0		10.0		9.9%
11-7	12.8%		8.8%	5.7%	3.1%	11.8									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.0		11.7		3.3%
10-8	12.1%		4.0%	3.2%	0.9%	11.9											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		11.6		0.9%
9-9	10.3%		1.8%	1.7%	0.1%	12.3											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		10.1		0.1%
8-10	8.2%		1.2%	1.2%		12.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		8.1
7-11	5.7%		0.5%	0.4%	0.1%	13.0												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	5.7		0.1%
6-12	4.0%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	4.0
5-13	2.6%		0.3%	0.3%		14.9														0.0		0.0		2.5
4-14	1.2%																							1.2
3-15	0.6%																							0.6
2-16	0.2%																							0.2
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		20.5%	8.8%	11.7%	9.5		0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.8	0.9	1.2	1.5	2.3	2.9	5.1	3.7	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0	79.5		12.8%